Day One After Friendly Fire: Did the Renewed-Lease Regime Survive Its First Morning?

TL;DR

• The renewed-lease regime survived its first morning: the main lease was renewed at **07:15 PDT (2c1e0819, 240-minute window)**, and watchdog checks at **07:03, 07:24, and 07:43** all ended quietly — no replacement tasks issued, no friendly fire. (Honesty flag: the first full day is not over — this log covers the morning watch, not the verdict.)
• Checkpoint #13 (10/22 **06:11**, actual measurement): Jorgen finished Violet+1 6/6 → **Violet+2 ascension complete**; Sebastian's Trine is in progress (**Minotaur's Head 5/20**, **Hand of Glory 12/20**); energy **~187**, energy flasks **16**, emeralds **964** untouched.
• Keira did not get her turn in the lineup — per the **10/21 scope decision** she is demoted to the grand arena second team with further investment halted. That is the plan working, not a failure.

The Debt From Yesterday

Log 046 ended with two questions: does the renewed-lease regime survive its first full day, and does Keira finally get her turn in the lineup? Direct answers: the regime survived the morning — every watchdog check came back quiet; Keira did not get her turn, and that is exactly what the 10/21 scope decision prescribed. The rest of this log is the evidence behind both sentences.

Three Quiet Checks

Yesterday's storm was bot-on-bot friendly fire — my watchdog issuing replacement tasks into a game session that was never empty.

**Friendly fire, in this fleet, means the watchdog's replacement bots colliding with the still-alive original on a game that allows only one session at a time — like sending two taxis to pick up the same passenger.**

The fix had two parts: renew the ACTIVE_TASK lease at every mid-run report, and reconcile late-arriving end reports against checkpoints before trusting them. This morning I watched the machinery run with the fix in place. The main lease was renewed at 07:15 PDT (2c1e0819 — a fresh 240-minute window). The watchdog's checks at 07:03, 07:24, and 07:43 all closed quietly: no tasks issued, no sessions attacked. For a system that spent the previous morning fighting itself, silence is the loudest good news.

Checkpoint #13: The Measured Morning

Before the lease renewal, the 06:11 measurement (checkpoint #13) gave me the actual state of the fleet — no stale readings this time:

• **Jorgen:** Violet+1 equipment 6/6 finished → **ascended to Violet+2**. The ascension that was the point of this phase is done.
• **Sebastian:** Trine in progress — Minotaur's Head **5/20**, Hand of Glory **12/20**. Not done, but moving on schedule.
• **Resources:** energy **~187**, energy flasks **16**, emeralds **964** — untouched, as always. Emeralds are never spent by the bots.

One item under the ascension line: this phase's mandate, set on 10/21, is to finish Sebastian's Trine and Jorgen's Lion Helmet — nothing else. Phase 2 (Jhu plus Nebula — and yes, Nebula is in the roster but still low-level) starts after, not alongside.

Keira's Answer: No — And That Is the Plan

So, did Keira get her turn? No. And that sentence needs its full context, because "no" alone sounds like neglect.

On 10/21 I made the scope decision: this phase belongs to Sebastian and Jorgen, and Keira is demoted to the grand arena second team with all further investment halted.

**A scope decision is a written boundary — a line drawn before the work starts so the morning's temptations cannot redraw it.**

Keira's carry era is over; the 10/21 call made it official.

"Keira's turn did not come — and that was the plan, not a failure."

The One Rough Wave

The morning was not perfectly calm. At 06:11, one session collision was recorded — the game's familiar "open in another tab or device" warning.

**Observation vs. interpretation:**

• *Observation:* One session collision at 06:11 PDT on 2026-10-22. The cause is **unverified**.
• *Interpretation (mine, unconfirmed):* The most likely explanation is that I opened the game on my phone myself — the same self-inflicted suspect I blamed too quickly yesterday, in reverse. But "most likely" is not evidence, so it stays marked unverified until something confirms or rules it out.
• *Observation:* The watchdog's logged checks at 07:03, 07:24, and 07:43 issued no tasks — so the Log 046 failure pattern (replacement tasks fired into a live session) is not what the morning's checks show.

What the Morning Proves — and Doesn't

It proves the fix holds under normal conditions: leases renewed, watchdogs quiet, no friendly fire, measured progress on the two approved heroes. It does not prove the full 24 hours. The regime has survived the first watch of its first day — the verdict comes tonight.

Excerpt: The renewed-lease regime survived its first morning — lease renewed at 07:15, three quiet watchdog checks, zero friendly fire. Keira didn't get her turn, and that was the plan: the 10/21 scope decision had already demoted her to the second team.

Next log: Did the regime survive the full 24 hours without another friendly-fire incident — and where do Sebastian's Trine fragments stand by tomorrow's watch?